Power Rankings: Every Team, Graded, Ranked, and Projected
Three articles into this season and it's time to stop grading moves and start grading teams. Below is a full power rankings countdown plus a projected record for every roster, built off something more objective than my gut: FantasyPros' consensus half-PPR expert rankings, a blend of 100+ independent analysts, not one guy's gut. I ran it through this league's exact format (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 FLEX W/R/T) and simulated it against the actual 14-week schedule.
The method, quickly: for every roster, I built the best possible starting lineup using FantasyPros' consensus rank for each player, converted that rank into a weighted score (elite players count a lot more than your WR4), and added it up into a Power Score. Then I ran every scheduled matchup through that score to get a win probability, and summed those probabilities across the season for a projected record. It's not a crystal ball. It can't see the Week 11 hamstring that changes everything. But it strips out schedule luck and tells you who's actually built to win.
One thing the model confirmed instantly, without me telling it anything: Josh Jacobs, James Conner, and Tank Dell, the three players either suspended or on IR across this league, didn't crack a single optimal lineup. The numbers already know what you know.
10. The Disturbance Regime — Power Score 429.3 | Projected 5-9
Chase Brown and James Cook is a real one-two punch, and Justin Jefferson is a top-12 overall player no matter what jersey he's wearing. The problem is everywhere else. Kyler Murray checks in as fantasy's QB17, Tucker Kraft is fine but unspectacular at TE5, and after Jefferson the receiver room is Courtland Sutton and Alec Pierce, replacement-level in a league this deep. That 5-9 isn't a rounding artifact. It's the second-lowest power score in the league colliding with the second-toughest schedule, about as bad a combination as this exercise can produce.
Toughest stretch: Opens Week 1 against My Njigba Hurts, the No. 2 power team in the league, and draws them again in Week 10. Week 7 brings Tony's Titans, the No. 1 team, into the mix too. Three of the fourteen games on this schedule are against the top two rosters in the league.
Upside: Jefferson alone can single-handedly win a week, Cook and Brown give you a real rushing floor most weeks, and Murray's legs put a baseline under his bad passing weeks that a pure pocket QB doesn't have. Ray Davis on the bench is a legitimate handcuff to your own James Cook. If Cook gets banged up, the replacement is already on your roster, not a waiver-wire scramble.
Downside: This roster has exactly one difference-maker. If Jefferson has a quiet week, there's no second gear. Sutton and Pierce are streaming-caliber, not lineup locks, and Murray's ceiling has always come with a turnover-worthy floor attached.
9. JahJonJuwan Jameson — Power Score 435.0 | Projected 5-9
This is the strangest profile in the league: the actual RB1 and RB4 in all of fantasy football, Jahmyr Gibbs and Jonathan Taylor, anchoring a roster that still projects for a losing record. That's what happens when you're getting QB14 production from Patrick Mahomes and your receiver room outside Malik Nabers is Tee Higgins and Jameson Williams. Throw in the single toughest schedule in the league and you've got the widest gap here between "best players" and "best team."
Toughest stretch: Draws Tony's Titans twice, Week 4 and Week 13, and gets My Njigba Hurts in Week 7. Those are the three toughest matchups on anyone's schedule, landing on a roster that already needed the calendar to cooperate.
Upside: Gibbs and Taylor form a floor no other team in this league can match at running back. Even a bad week from the passing game still comes with 30-plus points banked from the backfield. If Nabers takes the leap analysts have been calling for, this offense has a real 1-2 punch.
Downside: Two running backs are propping up the entire roster. An injury to either one doesn't just hurt. It collapses the season, and there's no proven passing-game floor to fall back on if it happens. Mahomes at QB14 means this team is punting weekly upside at the one position it could still improve on the wire.
8. Rat Kings — Power Score 443.8 | Projected 6-8
Puka Nacua and Saquon Barkley are both top-15 overall assets, and Joe Burrow at QB4 remains the best value buy from the entire draft. But this roster never recovered from the Jacobs pick, and the model backs that up. He's not startable at any price right now, which leaves a hole at the RB2 spot that Travis Etienne only half-fills. Good top, thin middle.
Toughest stretch: Tony's Titans in Week 6, My Njigba Hurts in Week 9, and Skatteboys in Week 3. Three of this team's toughest four games all land in the first two-thirds of the season, before any Jacobs-related roster surgery has time to pay off.
Upside: Nacua and Burrow are both legitimate top-of-position anchors, and if J.K. Dobbins or a waiver pickup solidifies the RB2 spot, this offense has the receiving corps (Moore, Evans, Tate) to support a real playoff push.
Downside: A dead roster spot on a 15-man roster is a real cost in a league this competitive, and right now that's what Jacobs is. The WR2/WR3 mix behind Nacua is name-brand but aging or unproven, and Tyler Warren at TE4 is a second-year piece coming off a strong rookie year but still with real weekly variance, not a locked-in floor.
7. Austin Clout Demons — Power Score 453.4 | Projected 7-7
Remember the draft grade that called the $28 auction bid on Josh Allen the single biggest allocation error in the league? The model doesn't care what you paid. It only cares what you own, and what you own is fantasy's actual QB1 by consensus rank. That, plus George Kittle at a real positional edge and Derrick Henry still producing like a top-11 back, drags this roster to a break-even projection despite one of the league's better rosters at the top three spots.
Toughest stretch: Tony's Titans in Week 9 sandwiched between two dates with My Njigba Hurts, Week 3 and Week 12. The toughest opponent pool in the league shows up three separate times.
Upside: Allen's rushing floor makes him close to unbenchable, Henry is still playing like a top-11 back at an age most backs have retired, and Kittle at TE gives this team a weekly mismatch most rosters don't have. The RB depth behind Henry (Love, Swift, Javonte Williams) is deep enough to survive a single injury without blinking.
Downside: There is no true WR1 here. Rashee Rice carries real off-field and target-share uncertainty, Davante Adams is on the back nine of his career, and DK Metcalf has never been a picture of consistency. If Henry's workload catches up to him at 32, this offense doesn't have a clean second engine.
6. Tanjiro Kamado — Power Score 455.7 | Projected 7-7
Ja'Marr Chase at overall WR1, plus Chris Olave and Emeka Egbuka giving you a three-deep receiver room most teams would kill for. The bill for punting the quarterback position at the draft (still owning two of them) is finally being paid at tight end instead. Mark Andrews checks in as TE16, a black hole in this format. Fix tight end on the wire and this team jumps three spots overnight.
Toughest stretch: Tony's Titans twice, in Week 1 and Week 10 (the season opens and the second half begins against the best roster in the league), with My Njigba Hurts sandwiched in Week 4.
Upside: Chase, Olave, and Egbuka is the deepest true three-man receiver room in this league, and if Kenneth Walker fully steps into a leadership role in that backfield, this offense doesn't have a weak skill-position group. Justin Herbert sitting on the bench is a legitimate break-glass option if Drake Maye stalls.
Downside: Andrews at TE16 is a real bleed every single week in a one-TE format, and rostering two startable-caliber quarterbacks (Maye and Herbert) means a roster spot that could've gone to fixing that problem instead got spent doubling up on a position this league only starts once.
5. San Diego Football Team — Power Score 456.7 | Projected 7-7
Two trades, a fixed RB2 hole, and Bijan Robinson and Amon-Ra St. Brown both sitting inside the top six overall. On paper this should be a top-three team. It isn't, and the gap between "best roster construction" and "5th place" is the clearest sign in this whole exercise that a great top of the roster doesn't matter if Dak Prescott is your QB10 and David Montgomery's ECR still reads more committee than bell cow. The front office did the work. The depth chart hasn't caught up yet.
Toughest stretch: Tony's Titans twice, Week 3 and Week 12, plus My Njigba Hurts in Week 6, the same brutal top-of-the-league gauntlet nearly everyone in the bottom half of these rankings is dealing with.
Upside: Bijan and Amon-Ra are two of the six best players in the format, full stop, and the RB room behind them (Montgomery, Henderson, Mason, Harvey) is now four-deep with real NFL roles attached to each name. If even one of those backs takes over a committee outright, this roster's ceiling is top-three in the league.
Downside: Prescott at QB10 is replacement-level in a one-QB league, which means this team is leaving points on the table every single week at a position it can't easily fix on waivers. Harold Fannin Jr. at TE7 is still an unproven second-year piece, not a finished product, and the RB room's depth is also its problem: nobody on it has a clean, uncontested path to 18-plus touches.
4. What r u doing step-substation? — Power Score 461.3 | Projected 7-7
Christian McCaffrey is still a top-seven back by consensus rank whenever he's actually on the field, which was the exact question mark flagged back at the draft. Omarion Hampton and Trey McBride give this roster a legitimate floor even if the workload gets split, and Caleb Williams has quietly climbed into low-end QB1 territory. The record here says .500. The roster says this team is one clean McCaffrey game log away from the top tier.
Toughest stretch: Tony's Titans twice, Week 2 and Week 11, with My Njigba Hurts landing in Week 8. Same top-heavy gauntlet, just spread earlier into the season than most.
Upside: A fully healthy McCaffrey is a top-seven overall player who changes this team's entire outlook, McBride gives a true positional edge at tight end, and Hampton is good enough to not just survive a McCaffrey absence but actually cover for it.
Downside: The question that follows McCaffrey around (workload, age, availability) hasn't gone away just because the calendar flipped to September, and it's the single biggest swing factor on this roster. The receiver room outside Smith and McConkey (Wilson, Worthy, an injured Tyson) doesn't offer much of a cushion if it comes to that.
3. Skatteboys — Power Score 472.8 | Projected 8-6
The Diggs-and-Montgomery trade cost this team the raw power score, but the schedule maker just handed them the easiest slate in the league, dead last in average opponent strength. CeeDee Lamb and Brock Bowers anchor a build that's deep enough everywhere to cash in on it. Watch this team quietly back into a top-two seed while everyone's busy talking about the two teams above it.
Toughest stretch: Tony's Titans in Week 8 and My Njigba Hurts twice, Week 2 and Week 11. Real tests, but only three genuinely hard games on the whole slate, which is the entire story of this team's schedule advantage.
Upside: Bowers at TE1 is the single biggest positional edge anyone in this league owns, Lamb is a top-10 overall receiver, and the running back room (Irving, Skattebo, Tuten, Hubbard, Lloyd) is deep enough to just plug in whoever gets the touches that week. Pair that with the league's easiest schedule and 8-6 might be underselling this team.
Downside: No back in that deep RB room has a clean, uncontested role. It's committee value stacked on committee value, which caps the ceiling even as it raises the floor. Lamar Jackson's weekly output has always run hot-and-cold, and this offense doesn't have a true second read at receiver behind Lamb and Waddle now that Diggs is gone.
2. My Njigba Hurts — Power Score 474.8 | Projected 8-6
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a top-five overall receiver by consensus, A.J. Brown is right behind him, and Ashton Jeanty gives this roster a legitimate bell-cow floor at running back. The gap to No. 1 is thin enough that a single trade, or one more week of Colston Loveland looking like a real TE3, closes it.
Toughest stretch: Tony's Titans twice, Week 5 and a Week 14 regular-season finale that could double as a playoff-seeding decider, with Skatteboys mixed in at Week 2.
Upside: Smith-Njigba and Brown give this roster two legitimate top-13 overall assets at the same position, Jeanty anchors the backfield, and the bench (Burden, Brian Thomas Jr., Marvin Harrison Jr.) is stacked with players one injury away from starting elsewhere in this league. Loveland trending toward a real TE3 finish would remove this roster's only real question mark.
Downside: Jeanty was the one price on this roster flagged as above-market at the draft, and the RB2 spot behind him (Judkins, then a Pollard/Jones committee) isn't a sure thing. Kyle Pitts sitting on the bench as dead weight is a wasted roster spot on a team that otherwise doesn't have many.
1. Tony's Titans — Power Score 482.8 | Projected 9-5
The draft grade said it first: best-constructed roster in the league. Two weeks of transactions haven't changed the model's mind. Drake London, Nico Collins, and George Pickens remain the deepest legitimate top-25 receiver trio anywhere in this league, De'Von Achane and Breece Hall give you two true bell cows, and Jayden Daniels is quietly a QB1 in a league where most of the field is punting the position. Yes, the James Conner add still grades out as a shrug. He's stuck on IR and buried on a depth chart even once he's back. It doesn't matter. This roster was built deep enough to survive one bad week of process.
Toughest stretch: My Njigba Hurts twice, Week 5 and again in the Week 14 finale, with Skatteboys the closest thing to a third real test in Week 8, the shortest "hard games" list of anyone in the top half of these rankings.
Upside: No weak link at receiver, two true bell-cow backs, and a quarterback who costs nothing but plays like a QB1. This is what a nearly optimized roster looks like. If Achane and Hall both stay healthy through the fantasy playoffs, this team is the field's biggest obstacle in December.
Downside: The RB room's depth behind the top two is thin. Rico Dowdle is the next man up, and Woody Marks and the IR'd Conner aren't real answers if Achane or Hall miss real time. It's a good problem to have compared to the rest of the league, but it's the one crack in an otherwise finished roster.
The numbers, side by side
| Rank | Team | Power Score | Proj. Record | Strength of Schedule (rank, 1=hardest) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony's Titans | 482.8 | 9-5 | 8 |
| 2 | My Njigba Hurts | 474.8 | 8-6 | 7 |
| 3 | Skatteboys | 472.8 | 8-6 | 10 |
| 4 | step-substation | 461.3 | 7-7 | 6 |
| 5 | San Diego Football Team | 456.7 | 7-7 | 4 |
| 6 | Tanjiro Kamado | 455.7 | 7-7 | 3 |
| 7 | Austin Clout Demons | 453.4 | 7-7 | 9 |
| 8 | Rat Kings | 443.8 | 6-8 | 5 |
| 9 | JahJonJuwan Jameson | 435.0 | 5-9 | 1 |
| 10 | The Disturbance Regime | 429.3 | 5-9 | 2 |
Two teams are staring down the toughest schedules in the league while also owning two of the three weakest rosters. JahJonJuwan Jameson and The Disturbance Regime aren't just building uphill. The schedule maker piled on. Meanwhile Skatteboys drew the softest slate of anyone and has a top-three roster to spend it on. Circle that team as the one most likely to outperform this list by December.